Longtermtrends in the News

The New York Times: Crashing Economy, Rising Stocks: What’s Going On?


What’s bad for America is sometimes good for the market.

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FINANCIAL TIMES: Higher inflation is coming and it will hit bondholders


Historic increase in monetary supply to fight Covid crisis will lead to higher consumer prices

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The New York Times: Big Companies Are Starting to Swallow the World


The exuberant rebound of large companies while their small competitors struggle will require more vigilant government antitrust action than ever before, an economist says.

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Bloomberg: Another U.S.-Wide Housing Slump Is Coming


The coronavirus pandemic will cause many cash-strapped Americans to sell their homes, flooding the market with excess supply.

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The Guardian: From housing to vaccine passports, politicians act as if young people don't exist


The latest figures in the UK from December show that house prices are now 8.4 times the annual average income. The only time that figure has ever been marginally higher was just before the global financial crash in 2008.

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Newsweek: Are We About to Repeat the 2008 Housing Crisis?


The house price-to-median income index measures the affordability of housing relative to the average person's salary. It is flashing red too: it is giving us a reading of 6.7, just below the previous high of 7 in November 2005.

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Seeking Alpha: Inflation Soars - Buy Banks And Financials Before It's Too Late: BTO


Figure 1 shows the yield curve for the past 30 years. In these 30 years, we have seen three recessions.

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Seeking Alpha: PHYS: Gold Is Starting To Perk Up


Negative real yields also suggest that gold may have some upside. Real yields are almost negative one percent as inflation expectations have crept into the market.

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Seeking Alpha: Why Stagflation Is A Significant Risk


There is a reason for great numbers from retail sales. Large-scale fiscal loosening in the U.S. has caused the private sector to amass significant savings (referred to as M2 money supply - cash, deposits, and savings), which are being unleashed in the economy through government stimulus and have grown as virus restrictions have been removed and confidence returns. In fact, the amount saved is more than anything we have seen in recent times and is comparable to the mid-'70s.

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Full Stack Python: The Best Resources for Developers to Learn Finance


Longtermtrends aggregates long term high-level financial data and displays it. I find looking at these charts gets me away from the day-to-day "oh the stock market is down" and towards thinking about what happens when you invest money over many years or decades.

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